Counterparty Risk: Bear in Mind
Counterparty risk is the likelihood of a party defaulting on its obligation in a transaction.
Time Preference: Hard Money for Hard Times
Every decision is made with a time horizon in mind. What to eat for lunch? Where to build a business? Who to marry? The same is true for how we choose to save .
Amara's Law: Great Expectations
When a disruptive innovations is first introduced we tend to get wildly excited about it potential applications. Our expectations get ahead of reality and we become underwhelmed by technological progress. But eventually this dynamic flips. Enabling technologies begin to advance at an exponential rat
Announcing my new book- Bitcoin: Essential Concepts
Today I'm thrilled to announce that I've finished my new book- Bitcoin: Essential Concepts . It will be released on October 4th.
Unit Bias: One Hundred Million Reasons
Unit bias is faulty reasoning that assumes a single unit must be the appropriate amount from which to make assessments and comparisons.
The Ansoff Matrix: A Growing Share of a Growing Pie
A Lesson in Strategic Growth: Coachella There are few industries as challenging and competitive as the music festival industry. Spend an entire year planning, booking, and advertising for a single weekend to ultimately determine your financial fate. Even in the cut-throat restaurant industry, a new
Feedback Loops: Tell Me Why
When a system reacts to its environment and the resultant output gets re-incorporated as an input, a feedback loop is
Inequivalence Theorem: Should I Stay or Should I Go?
Ricardian Equivalence When governments fund their visions by issuing bonds (as opposed to using collected taxes), there is an expectation that this debt will be repaid via higher taxes at some point in the future. Rational taxpayers will therefore reduce their own consumption to increase their savin
Creative Destruction: Disrupt or be Disrupted
Creative destruction is the process of entrepreneurs out-innovating incumbents, rendering them obsolete, under a free market.
Gall's Law: Keep It Simple, Stupid
When designing systems, every decision must optimize for survival. A key part of this is prioritizing simplicity over complexity. Anything